Modi’s aim behind his Bihar game : Modi is worried about his prospect in 2019
Modi’s aim behind his Bihar game : Modi is worried about his prospect in 2019
Whatever Narendra Modi is doing in Bihar has nothing to do with corruption*. It is his desperate bid to break the Grand Alliance before 2019 Parliamentary elections. In his desperation, Modi has dropped the fig leaf and stands naked without shame.
The BJP has been unabashedly inviting Nitish Kumar to come to its fold. Today, its Bihar BJP President has stated that the BJP would support Nitish government from outside if it parted with the RJD. Earlier, the party has been repeating without number that it had got the information about Laloo Prasad 's properties from Nitish Kumar 's circle.
It was a desperate attempt create a rift between the JD (U) and the RJD. So far Modi has not succeeded.
Narendra Modi is worried about his prospect in 2019. He won 35 seats out of 40 in Bihar when the JD (U) and the RJD fought the 2014 Parliamentary separately, but faced a most humiliating defeat at the Assembly despite Modi making the election Modi versus Nitish. The BJP won less than 60 seats.
Modi is aware that he has very little appeal to Bihar voters and if Nitish and Lalu remained together he might not retain even 20 Parliamentary seats out of the present 35. He is equally scared of the possibility of a similar Grand Alliance in UP, where he has 73 MPs out of 80. If an alliance is forged there, the number of his MPs may come down to less than 40. It is not a wishful thinking but an assessment based on facts.
Modi had received 41% of the votes polled at 2014 elections, but it came down to a little over 39% at the 2017 Assembly elections despite the split in the SP and the BSP. A large number of the SP and the BSP voters voted for the BJP, but still its vote share , instead of rising from 41% at the 2014 elections, fell down 39% or so. The implication is crystal clear. A large number of those who were taken in by Modi's demagogy in 2014 deserted him in 2017. If the opposition parties could forge an alliance in 2019, Modi may lose 50 or more seats only in Bihar and UP.
Modi is aware that the formation of the Bihar type Grand Alliance may spell his doom in 2019. No wonder he wants to break the alliance by hook or by crook. The whole world knows that he could stoop to any level of lowliness to remain in power, and can be immeasurably mean and vindictiveness. His treatment of his patron and savior L.K. Advani is an ominous example of his meanness and vindictiveness.
* The post is not to suggest that Laloo Prasad and his family are innocent. The author believes that almost (almost is used only as a precaution ) all politicians are corrupt in India the only difference being that a few are caught while the rest rule the roost. There is no fight against corruption in India , there is only a fight among the thieves.
